The Only Oscar Coverage You Need (Final Nomination Predictions)

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“Oh what a day, what a lovely day!”

This morning, nominations for the 88th Academy Awards were etched into the history books. Winners will be announced at a ceremony on Sunday, February 28th 2016. The Revenant led with 12 nominations, competing in Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor and a surprise mention in Best Supporting Actor for Tom Hardy. This massive show of support for The Revenant could be telling of its eventual victory, but missing a screenplay nomination will hurt it. Following right behind is Mad Max: Fury Road with 10 nominations. It didn’t get cited for screenplay either, but it showed up in basically every technical category it deserved to. Brooklyn and Room showed their support by landing among the eight Best Picture nominees as did The Martian, Spotlight, The Big Short, and Bridge of Spies. All eight of the nominees were in the top nine of my predictions with only Carol missing the cut.

While The Martian landed with the third most nominations (7) it failed to get the one most thought was a sure thing; Best Director for Ridley Scott. I’m sure there are those that are upset about that. I’m firmly in the camp that the direction in The Martian was consummate and served the story well, but it was not Oscar worthy. Most of the buzz surrounding Scott had to do with his overdue status more than his accomplishments on this film, so perhaps its for the best. He will win someday, but this year it’s between Lenny Abrahamson, Adam McKay, Tom McCarthy, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, and George Miller. I didn’t not foresee Abrahamson making it in over Scott but my remaining four predictions were correct.

Among the acting awards there were very few surprises. Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actress held no surprises whatsoever with my predictions lining up 15/15.  Supporting Actor is the only category where I dropped the ball slightly, correctly predicting Mark Rylance, Mark Ruffalo, Christian Bale, and Sylvester Stallone but missing nominee Tom Hardy for Idris Elba. It’s a shame Elba didn’t get in, but I believe it has a lot more to do with lack of support for the Netflix produced Beasts of No Nation, than the absurd racial accusations. It would definitely be nice to see more color among the acting nominees but I think this is due to the lack of great roles for minorities in Hollywood. It’s not like there were a massive number of deserving performances that went unrewarded (SAG had only one minority acting nominee among 20, the Globes had two among 30) its just the majority of great roles are given to white actors. As easy as it is to point The Academy, its pointless and baseless. Baseless because the Academy president, Cheryl Boone Isaacs is African American and she has been working to bring more diversity both into The Academy and the film industry in general. And pointless because The Academy Awards are not the issue, they’re a symptom of the industry’s issue.  This was the year where women and women dominated films finally broke through in a big way both commercially and in the nominees. Perhaps they can lead the way for more minorities doing the same in Hollywood in upcoming years.

Original and Adapted screenplay held few surprises too, but they were mostly good. While I would have loved to see Mad Max: Fury Road represented here, its more of a visual vehicle (see what I did there) than a writers. Ex Machina landed a very deserving nomination for Original Screenplay and my pick to win, Brooklyn, snagged a Best Adapted. Both Steve Jobs and The Hateful Eight weren’t nominated which I couldn’t be more pleased about. Sorkin is a miracle worker with words, but Steve Jobs was a missed opportunity and I feared if he got nominated, he would win as he did at the globes. Nick Hornby and Emma Donoghue did work far more deserving of recognition and Sorkin already has an Oscar on his mantle. While I haven’t seen The Hateful Eight yet I can’t be too disappointed that Tarantino was left off. Inglorious Basterds was a masterpiece of a screenplay that went unrewarded. The Academy made up for it, sort of, by giving him his second Oscar for Django Unchained instead– a far inferior work. From what I hear The Hateful Eight hews closer to Django so I’m glad other writers have a chance to shine this year.

Below is a complete list of nominees. Please comment with your thoughts on the nominees. Love them? Hate them? Why?

BEST PICTURE

  • The Big Short
  • Bridge of Spies
  • Brooklyn
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Room
  • Spotlight

BEST ACTOR

  • Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
  • Matt Damon, The Martian
  • Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
  • Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

BEST ACTRESS

  • Cate Blanchett, Carol
  • Brie Larson, Room
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
  • Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
  • Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Christian Bale, The Big Short
  • Tom Hardy, The Revenant
  • Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
  • Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
  • Sylvester Stallone, Creed

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
  • Rooney Mara, Carol
  • Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
  • Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
  • Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

DIRECTING

  • Adam McKay – The Big Short
  • George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Alejandro G. Iñárritu – The Revenant
  • Lenny Abrahamson – Room
  • Tom McCarthy – Spotlight

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

  • Anomalisa
  • Boy and the World
  • Inside Out
  • Shaun the Sheep Movie
  • When Marnie Was There

COSTUME DESIGN

  • Carol
  • Cinderella
  • The Danish Girl
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

  • Amy
  • Cartel Land
  • The Look of Silence
  • What Happened, Miss Simone?
  • Winter on Fire

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

  • Body Team
  • Chau, Beyond the Lines
  • Claude Lanzmann
  • A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
  • Last Day of Freedom

MAKEUP AND HAIR STYLING

  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Hundred-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared
  • The Revenant

ORIGINAL SONG

  • “Earned It” – Fifty Shades of Grey
  • “Manta Ray” – Racing Extinction
  • “Simple Song #3” – Youth
  • “Til It Happens to You” – The Hunting Ground
  • “Writing’s on the Wall” – Spectre

ANIMATED SHORT

  • Bear Story
  • Prologue
  • Sanjay’s Super Team
  • We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
  • World of Tomorrow

SOUND EDITING

  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Sicario
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant

FILM EDITING

  • The Big Short
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant
  • Spotlight
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • Embrace of the Serpent
  • Mustang
  • Son of Saul
  • Theeb
  • A War

ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Carol
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Sicario
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens

PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Danish Girl
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant

VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Ex Machina
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  • The Big Short
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • The Martian
  • Room

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Ex Machina
  • Inside Out
  • Spotlight
  • Straight Outta Compton

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Carol
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant
  • Sicario

Author: Radcliff Weir, @radcliffweir

Follow us on Twitter @alldayeveryweek

 

 

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One thought on “The Only Oscar Coverage You Need (Final Nomination Predictions)

  1. Yay Ex Machina! Yay Mad Max! So glad about their nominations, and that Mad Max got SO many! It deserves it. Looks like everything has fallen pretty much into place with your predictions. You know your stuff well. I’ll be looking forward to your Oscar Ceremony coverage!

    Just an added point of interested, there is one movie I wish could have been on the radar of the Academy, and that is Man from UNCLE. That movie was just superb. Sauve, elegant, witty, beautiful 1960s art direction, wonderful score, it deserves recognition! I wish it had gotten some sort of nomination. Alas.

    “…for Django Unchained instead– a far inferior work.” <– Haha! Okay, so I just have to disagree with this. Django Unchained was amazing! It is my favorite Tarantino film! It is a perfect crazy fairytale epic! It has meaty symbolism, superb, edge-of-your-seat screenwriting, and a wonderful cast of actors who brought the characters to life. It is so good! Far from inferior, on all accounts! So, I just thought I would add that little correction here. 😉

    Like

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